We have launched coverage of 14 additional enterprise software companies. Our models use a combination of SaaS metrics and non-GAAP financials to predict the current stock price. The relationship with our Enterprise focused model and the current stock prices (adjusted r-square) is 0.87 and for companies with an SMB/Entrepreneur focus our model has an adjusted r-square of 0.68. The performance of these stocks will be tracked in the Perspectec General Portfolio. In addition, we are moving Salesforce.com (CRM) from our Focused Portfolio to our General.Portfolio, due to a change in associate coverage. With this launch, we have published our Enterprise […]
CRM
4 posts
With contributions from Robin Manson-Hing. We have completed our quarterly analysis of Salesforce’s major product lines and have seen some changes on where Salesforce sits in relation to its competition. This analysis does not include MuleSoft’s Anytime Platform or MuleSoft’s impact to Salesforce’s financials. Market position for Sales Cloud and Marketing Cloud moves lower – We track CRM’s market position every quarter using a market competitiveness model. Over the last quarter, we found Sales Cloud and Marketing Cloud to have moved lower since our last report primarily due to lower interest in their solutions. While the price hike for Sales Cloud two years ago has been […]
On Tuesday, January 9th, Salesforce (CRM) broke through its all-time high set back on November 21st. It has now comfortably past our target of $108 set back on December 19th. Given the recent run-up in the stock price and the equity markets in general, we now believe fiscal Q4 2018 results and Q1 2019 guidance beats are being fully accounted for in the stock price. This is based on CRM’s historical EV/EBITDA valuation, its CLTV/CGC relative valuation and CRM’s high r-squared with the NASDAQ Composite. We believe investors should stop accumulating shares of CRM above $108. We continue to monitor CRM’s competitive […]
With Salesforce (CRM-NYSE) finally releasing company-wide dollar attrition last quarter, we can now launch coverage of CRM being more confident in our relative and historical valuation as well as our target price. This is the first in an ongoing series of research examining Salesforce’s business and share price. Salesforce has a number of diverging elements including: – Trading patterns – Relative valuation, growth – Profitability – Competitive position Over the last few years, there has been one steady method of valuation that has been a strong predictor of its share price: an enterprise value based on its trailing 12-month customer lifetime value added over […]