Examining Paycom (PAYC-NYSE) taking a full ‘retrospective adoption approach’ to adopting the new ASC 606 standard, their restating of adjusted EBITDA has driven us to update our EV/EBITDA forecast model. The new standard allows Paycom to defer a materially larger than industry average portion of their sales commissions over the lifetime of its customers. This has caused adjusted EBITDA for 2017 to now be $186 million versus $137 million previously. Our new function involves seven public payroll SaaS companies that have produced an r-squared of 0.863 in forecasting the current EV/EBITDA multiple. The end result is our target EV/EBITDA multiple for Paycom has been reduced from 45x to 36x. Our […]